Gold Rate in India
India is the largest consumer of gold in the world, accounting for almost a quarter of the world's total consumption. It has, since long, maintained this position and, unlike countries like China, India uses gold primarily in the form of jewelry and investments. It is viewed as a solid instrument for investments and even traders who are into commodities trading, invest in gold bullion. These investments are usually dictated by the gold ratesprevailing in the economy at that time.
Even the global view of gold is that of a safe haven where you can invest even when investments in the economy of a country are not a good idea. This is because it is believed that this commodity always appreciates.
Factors Affecting Gold Price in India
Trading in gold is a preferred investment mode of investors who are financially savvy and have the required risk-appetite for this kind of market. It requires prudent monitoring of investments as gold prices are subject to change for many reasons. Maintaining or closing a position in this market depends on how well an investor can track, analyze and synthesize pricing information.
Some of the key factors that affect gold prices are outlined below:
- Import costs: Since demand is primarily met through gold imports, import costs affect gold rates. Higher the costs, higher the price of gold.
- Interest rates on bank fixed deposits: Bank FDs are the go-to investment option for Indians. It is only rivalled by investments in gold. When FD rates fall, investors prefer moving their money to gold. Hence, the demand for gold rises and thereby prices.
- Strength of the US dollar: When the US dollar weakens, gold rates in India rise and when the US dollar strengthens, gold prices in India fall. This is because central banks which maintain US dollar reserves tend to hedge against risks of a devaluing dollar by investing in gold. This pushes prices up. Also, India buys its gold from foreign countries and when the US dollar strengthens against the Indian rupee, it makes purchases of gold (usually done in USD), more expensive.
- Global economic stability: Gold prices rise during times of economic instability as gold is considered safer asset that others and people tend to move their money out of riskier assets into gold. Other assets bear the risk of being significantly devalued whereas gold which is has high liquidity continues to hold value even during times of crisis.
- Seasonality: In India, demand for gold during festivals, marriages and other auspicious occasions. Prices tend to be higher during these times.
- Inflation: Since gold is bought to hedge against inflation, gold prices tend to rise when inflation is on an upward trend.
- International prices: In general, when gold rates are on an upward trend, globally, gold prices in India also move upwards. Many central banks, especially in the US and in Europe hold huge gold reserves. When these banks or other financial organizations buy more gold, prices move upward.
International gold prices are hugely affected by the prices fixed on the London Gold Market, twice a day i.e. once at 10:30 a.m. and once at 3 p.m. USD is the currency generally used when quoting prices although it is fixed in Pound Sterlings and Euros as well.
- Production costs: Mining companies increase prices at times on account of production costs. This is reflected in the price of gold imported in India.
- Supply: Domestic production and supply is limited in India. Supply constraints can push prices upwards. Similarly, lower supplies of gold globally can make the metal dearer in India.
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