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Showing posts with the label Recession

DEBT SECURITIES – Safe in volatile stock market

In these uncertain and volatile market conditions, investors are flocking to invest in debt securities to ensure not only stable and certain returns but more importantly capital protection THE GLOBAL MELTDOWN Across the globe, financial and economic markets have taken a severe beating and there are expectations of recession in developed countries. In this backdrop, the Indian markets have also been affected but not as badly as the others. BETTER SAFE THAN SORRY Investors have seen their wealth, especially in shares, erode faster than they would have imagined or liked. Thus, investors are now increasingly flocking to invest in debt securities. So what are their options and the pros and cons of each investment avenue. Let’s take a look at some of the attractive ones: Government Securities: The bond yield on short term (1-year) government securities ( g-secs ) is currently approximately 8% to 9% p.a. Due to the inverse relationship between bond prices (carrying fixed interest rates) and ...

What to do in Today's Stock Market

In the stock market, the bulls are constrained by concerns over the macro-economic scenario domestically, the grim global scenario, persistent Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) outflows and the possibility of another round of monetary tightening. That does not mean the bears have a free hand. The correction in commodities, especially crude, provides ample ammunition for the bulls to conduct a short-term rally. Investors who flocked to gold as the 'safe asset' were disappointed at the way the price dropped in August. Real estate rates too have dropped and by all indications will continue to fall. No asset seems to be a safe haven anymore. The only asset that beckons is debt with interest rates rising. But would it make sense for an investor to move into debt? While this is a good time to reassess one's portfolio, it would not be wise to simply rush to income funds, Fixed Maturity Plans ( FMPs ) or fixed deposits. Read on to figure out how to make the best in such a bleak ...

What’s a recession?

A RECESSION can be loosely defined as a slowing down of the activity in an economy or when the economy enters a phase of negative growth . Since the GDP is a measure of the economic growth of the economy, a technical definition of recession would be a decline in the GDP growth of a country over two or more consecutive quarters of a year. This is very often accompanied by a fall in the stock markets. Many experts feel that a recession is a part of a normal business cycle after a period of growth and feel that it could last anywhere between 6-18 months. During a recession, there is generally a lowering of interest rates in order to pump liquidity back into the economy. The line between where recession ends and depression begins is often debated. However, most experts feel that when the GDP has fallen by over 10%, then it can be defined as an economic depression. There are, however, many who feel that GDP is not the only indicator and hence they look upon employment, industrial prod...
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