Skip to main content

Risk-Return: Two sides of a coin

PEOPLE aren't risk-averse; they are loss averse. Usually, occurrence of loss is more painful than happiness from gain /profit. The pain on losing `50,000 is much more than the happiness in gaining the same amount.

Similarly, when people say they want to take high risk, what is going on in their mind is 'high risk, high return'. At that stage, the probability of a loss is almost absent in their mind. People tend to forget that loss (read: risk) is an integral part of any form of investment. An investor who understands different kinds of risk and their characteristics will have a much more stable portfolio than one who invests haphazardly.

There are mainly two kinds of risk for any form of investment anywhere in the world, systematic and unsystematic. This is what they mean: Systematic risk exists in the economic system. For example, inflation, government policies, consumer confidence, and so on. These adversely impact all forms of investment. Inflation, for instance, will always reduce the real rate of return of all forms of investment. Unfortunately, we cannot diversify away from systematic risk. Whether we buy equity, debt or real estate or any other form of asset to diversify our portfolio, systematic risk will always impact the returns.

One strategy that can be adopted to tackle systematic risk is rupee cost averaging. If we keep investing a fixed amount at a fixed interval, over a period of time, our purchase value of investment will start averaging (unless it is a unidirectional falling market for a prolonged period.) This happens because the level and constituents of systematic risk keep varying. Many mutual funds offer systematic investment plans, the best way to invest in markets.

Unsystematic risk is associated with only a particular kind of investment vehicle or instrument. For instance, by investing only in Infosys, we get exposed to unsystematic risk. Any adverse outcome will impact the performance of the company. Similarly, if a majority of investment is in real estate and if the government's policies on real estate change, there could be an adverse impact on the portfolio.

To reduce the impact of unsystematic risk, one should diversify the portfolio. Unfortunately, different people understand diversification differently. To some, investing in fixed deposits (FDs) of different banks is diversification. There are others who invest in similar styles of schemes of different mutual fund companies. Like a portfolio where an individual had invested in nine different gilt funds of different mutual fund houses. There are still others who will have eight to ten stocks of different pharmaceutical companies. None of these can be called diversification. If the government was to change the tax rate on FDs, for instance, it would universally impact all FD investments.

Similarly, all pharmaceutical companies would get impacted due to a change of policy impinging on the sector.

Diversification means investing in those classes of assets which move in opposite directions. Statistically, it is called negative correlation. Usually (though, not always), debt and equity markets have negative correlation. In the year 2008 and 2009, equity markets performed poorly. In those years, debt markets (debt funds) gave exceptionally good returns. In the recent past, debt has been giving (lower) returns but equity has performed well. An individual with only equity in his portfolio would have had disastrous years in 2008 and 2009 but extremely good years in 2009 and 2010. His / her portfolio would have been extremely volatile. Compared to this, someone with a diversified portfolio consisting of both debt and equity would have had stable returns.

An expert investor is not one who generates a phenomenal return in a few years and poor returns in the other. What is needed is stable growth of the portfolio over a prolonged period of time. This can happen by generating optimal risk-adjusted returns. And by remembering at all times that risk is an integral part of all our investments.

Popular posts from this blog

Mutual Fund Review: Religare Tax Plan

Tax Plan is one of the better performing schemes from Religare Asset Management. Existing investors can redeem their investment after three years. But given the scheme's performance, they can continue to stay invested   Given the mandated lock-in period of three years, tax saving schemes give the fund manager the leeway to invest in ideas that may take time to nurture. Religare Tax Plan's investment ideas revolve around 'High Growth', which the fund manager has aimed to achieve by digging out promising stories/businesses in the mid-cap segment. Within the space, consumer staples has been the centre of attention for the last couple of years and can be seen as one of the key reasons for the scheme's outperformance as compared to the broader market. It has, however, tweaked its focus and reduced exposure in midcaps as they were commanding a high premium. The strategy seems to have worked as it returned a 22% gain last year. Religare Tax Plan has outperformed BSE 100...

Stocks with a high dividend yield

Buy Gold Mutual Funds Invest Mutual Funds Online Download Tax Saving Mutual Fund Application Forms Call 0 94 8300 8300 (India) Stocks with a high-dividend yield can provide investors additional cash flow. More importantly, it is tax-free   With April 2011 just over, the 'earnings season' is well and truly here. This is the time most companies pay out a portion of their profits as dividends to shareholders. Since dividends are tax-free, they are an attractive income source with a select class of investors, who depend on these for additional cash flow. SIGNIFICANCE A company doing well and generating profits will usually be in a position to declare dividends regularly. Hence, a key parameter one should look at whilst investing in a stock is whether the company has a good dividend record. Typically, dividend yield stocks are large-caps and generally not capital-intensive. This is suggestive of the fact that the downside risk on...

Good time to invest in Infrastructure Funds

Download Tax Saving Mutual Fund Application Forms Invest In Tax Saving Mutual Funds Online Buy Gold Mutual Funds Leave a missed Call on 94 8300 8300   Good time to invest in infrastructure The Sensex has gained almost 10 per cent from May 15 till date, while the CNX Infrastructure Index has gained almost 17 per cent in the period. The price to earnings ( P/ E) ratio of the BSE Sensex is 18.96; for the CNX Infrastructure Index, it is 24.57. The estimated P/ E for next year is 14.04 for the Sensex. Of the 24 companies that make up the CNX Infrastructure Index, six have a P/ E higher than 20. Does this mean infrastructure is fairly valued? Or, has it run up quite a bit? According to experts, barring stray companies, the infra sector is fairly valued and it is a good time to invest. Even if some companies are facing debt restructuring problems, once interest rates come down and regulatory norms become flexible, they will start giving good re...

Nifty F&O

  1. What is a straddle? A strategy using Nifty options usually before a major event or when one is uncertain of market direction. Comprises purchase of a Nifty call and put option of the same strike price. Usually strikes are purchased closer to the level of the underlying index. 2. What is better ­ buying or selling a straddle? It depends.Implied volatili ty of options, or near-term expectations of price swings in an un derlier like Nifty , usually peaks before an event and falls when the outcome plays out ­ like Infy re sults in past years. However, once the event plays out, a sharp rise or fall in Nifty could result in price of the straddle rising ­ benefiting buy ers. But, normally , those who sell or write options charge hefty premiums from buyers in the hope that fall in volatility would ensure the options end out-of-the-money, hurting buyers. 3. So, do straddle sellers end up winning most of the time? Yes. That's invariably the case when market volatility is trending on the...

JP Morgan launches Emerging Markets Opportunities Equity Offshore Fund

Download Tax Saving Mutual Fund Application Forms Invest In Tax Saving Mutual Funds Online Buy Gold Mutual Funds Leave a missed Call on 94 8300 8300 JP Morgan launches Emerging Markets Opportunities Equity Offshore Fund    The new fund offer opens for subscription on 16 th June and closes on 30 th June. JP Morgan Mutual Fund today announced the launch of its open end fund of fund called Emerging Markets Opportunities Equity Offshore Fund. The fund will invest in an aggressively managed portfolio of emerging market companies in the underlying fund - JPMorgan Funds - Emerging Markets Opportunities Fund, says a JP Morgan press release. Noriko Kuroki, Client Portfolio Manager, Global Emerging Markets Team (Singapore), JPMAM said, "Emerging markets have been out of favour for several years, as growth decelerated and earnings struggled. However, in a world of globalisation, we believe that EM will eventually re-couple with DM, leading to the long-aw...
Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...
Invest in Tax Saving Mutual Funds Download Any Applications
Transact Mutual Funds Online Invest Online
Buy Gold Mutual Funds Invest Now