Skip to main content

Risk-Return: Two sides of a coin

PEOPLE aren't risk-averse; they are loss averse. Usually, occurrence of loss is more painful than happiness from gain /profit. The pain on losing `50,000 is much more than the happiness in gaining the same amount.

Similarly, when people say they want to take high risk, what is going on in their mind is 'high risk, high return'. At that stage, the probability of a loss is almost absent in their mind. People tend to forget that loss (read: risk) is an integral part of any form of investment. An investor who understands different kinds of risk and their characteristics will have a much more stable portfolio than one who invests haphazardly.

There are mainly two kinds of risk for any form of investment anywhere in the world, systematic and unsystematic. This is what they mean: Systematic risk exists in the economic system. For example, inflation, government policies, consumer confidence, and so on. These adversely impact all forms of investment. Inflation, for instance, will always reduce the real rate of return of all forms of investment. Unfortunately, we cannot diversify away from systematic risk. Whether we buy equity, debt or real estate or any other form of asset to diversify our portfolio, systematic risk will always impact the returns.

One strategy that can be adopted to tackle systematic risk is rupee cost averaging. If we keep investing a fixed amount at a fixed interval, over a period of time, our purchase value of investment will start averaging (unless it is a unidirectional falling market for a prolonged period.) This happens because the level and constituents of systematic risk keep varying. Many mutual funds offer systematic investment plans, the best way to invest in markets.

Unsystematic risk is associated with only a particular kind of investment vehicle or instrument. For instance, by investing only in Infosys, we get exposed to unsystematic risk. Any adverse outcome will impact the performance of the company. Similarly, if a majority of investment is in real estate and if the government's policies on real estate change, there could be an adverse impact on the portfolio.

To reduce the impact of unsystematic risk, one should diversify the portfolio. Unfortunately, different people understand diversification differently. To some, investing in fixed deposits (FDs) of different banks is diversification. There are others who invest in similar styles of schemes of different mutual fund companies. Like a portfolio where an individual had invested in nine different gilt funds of different mutual fund houses. There are still others who will have eight to ten stocks of different pharmaceutical companies. None of these can be called diversification. If the government was to change the tax rate on FDs, for instance, it would universally impact all FD investments.

Similarly, all pharmaceutical companies would get impacted due to a change of policy impinging on the sector.

Diversification means investing in those classes of assets which move in opposite directions. Statistically, it is called negative correlation. Usually (though, not always), debt and equity markets have negative correlation. In the year 2008 and 2009, equity markets performed poorly. In those years, debt markets (debt funds) gave exceptionally good returns. In the recent past, debt has been giving (lower) returns but equity has performed well. An individual with only equity in his portfolio would have had disastrous years in 2008 and 2009 but extremely good years in 2009 and 2010. His / her portfolio would have been extremely volatile. Compared to this, someone with a diversified portfolio consisting of both debt and equity would have had stable returns.

An expert investor is not one who generates a phenomenal return in a few years and poor returns in the other. What is needed is stable growth of the portfolio over a prolonged period of time. This can happen by generating optimal risk-adjusted returns. And by remembering at all times that risk is an integral part of all our investments.

Popular posts from this blog

Understanding Your Cibil Credit Information Report

   WE ARE all familiar with the anxiety and uncertainty that we feel when applying for a loan. After all, it's the lender who decides whether we can own our dream home, our first car, or whether our children can pursue higher education. In a nutshell, a better life depends on the lender's decisions.    While other factors do play a part in the lender's decision, the Cibil Credit Information Report ( CIR ) plays a crucial role in a lender's decision to approve a loan application.    Previously, lenders would treat all loan seekers equally. Each applicant, if approved by the lender's internal credit policy, would be charged at the same interest rate for a particular loan size and purpose. The lenders would charge a higher interest rate to all the borrowers, in order to compensate for the possible default of a small portion of the loan disbursed. In other words, it's like a professor (the lender) punishing an entire class (borrowers) for the mischief played b...

Reliance Health Total

  Reliance Life Insurance has launched Reliance Health Total, a non-linked, non-participating and non-variable health insurance plan . It provides a fixed benefit cover for hospitalisation, critical illnesses and surgeries. The customer can also make a claim for over-the-counter health-related expenses. This is a regular-pay, five-year plan that can be renewed till the age of 99. The plan comes with two options: customers can choose a higher medical reimbursement benefit or a higher sum insured. Best Tax Saver Mutual Funds or ELSS Mutual Funds for 2015 1. ICICI Prudential Tax Plan 2. Reliance Tax Saver (ELSS) Fund 3. HDFC TaxSaver 4. DSP BlackRock Tax Saver Fund 5. Religare Tax Plan 6. Franklin India TaxShield 7. Canara Robeco Equity Tax Saver 8. IDFC Tax Advantage (ELSS) Fund 9. Axis Tax Saver Fund 10. BNP Paribas Long Term Equity Fund You can invest Rs 1,50,000 and Save Tax under Section 80C by investing in Mutual Funds Invest in Tax Saver Mutual Funds Online - I...

Some tips for individual investors for investment planning

These days, the stock markets are quite volatile in nature with a bearish bias. Rallies do not last long in the markets and peaks of market rallies are reducing. The markets are hitting fresh lows in every fall. Many blue chip stocks are trading 50 percent lower than their high levels. Many stocks are currently trading at their year's low prices or all-time low prices. Many investors have lost their hard-earned money and many others are stuck with stocks that have corrected heavily in the last few weeks. Here are some tips for investors already invested in the stock markets: 1) Hold fundamentally strong options The domestic macroeconomic fundamentals are strong. The GDP growth rate is expected to slow down slightly from the nine percent last year to around 7 - 7.5 percent this year. This is still quite good and encouraging in comparison to other developed countries. The current market crash can be attributed largely to foreign institutional investors' ( FIIs ) outflows but...

Good Loan

Why Is It A Good Loan?: Loans against gold are cheaper and better than personal loans as the former are available at lower interest rates. In contrast, the interest rates on personal loans are not standardised and can vary from bank to bank. Also, a personal loan depends on a host of factors including, the borrower's salary, profession and the purpose for which the loan is being taken.      For instance, the interest rate on a personal loan of 5 lakh falls in a wide range of 15-30%. But loans against gold are available for as low as 11%. Secured borrowing such as a loan against gold, investments or property is cheaper because it is backed by some assets, which command a good value at any point of time. If the borrower defaults on the loan, the banks can liquidate the assets to settle the loan account.    Being a secured loan, the risk of default and credit losses is significantly lower in this loan compared to other forms of loan for personal use. Given the lower risk, gold loa...

Save Tax With Mutual Funds

Download Tax Saving Mutual Fund Application Forms Invest In Tax Saving Mutual Funds Online Buy Gold Mutual Funds Leave a missed Call on 94 8300 8300       Mutual funds are ideal as long term investment avenues for retail investors. To encourage investments in this avenue, the Government of India offers investors a spate of tax benefits thus ensuring maximum benefit from mutual funds held beyond a year. Sample some of the key benefits and refer to the table for a detailed list of tax rates for different types of schemes ·        Avail deductions under Sec 80C of the Income Tax Act by investing up to a maximum of Rs. 1 lakh in designated Equity Linked Savings Schemes (ELSS). Such investments have a compulsory lock in period of 3 years. ·        First time retail investors in equity with a gross total income of up to Rs. 12 lakh can invest up to Rs. 50,000 in specific MF schemes un...
Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...
Invest in Tax Saving Mutual Funds Download Any Applications
Transact Mutual Funds Online Invest Online
Buy Gold Mutual Funds Invest Now