Skip to main content

Gold Silver ratio helps to predict the price pattern

GOLD-silver ratio, which denotes how many ounces of silver are needed at a given point of time to buy an ounce of gold, is a handy tool to understand the direction in which the two volatile metals may move in the near future.

The ratio can help an investor to switch his holdings to gold or silver as the ratio moves up and down, thus, accumulating more quantity of both the metals.

The ratio shows how many times more expensive gold is to silver. Typically, the ratio moves in a pattern, and in normal circumstances, it helps predict which direction the prices shall move in the near future.

Between 1950s and 1980s, the gold-silver ratio has largely moved between 20 and 50. In 1980, however, it touched 100, when global economies were trying to contain inflation and were selling their gold reserves. In 1990-2000, the ratio largely remained stable.

In the past decade, the ratio has been moving gradually, but consistently lower.
The median point has remained at around 54. At the start of the year, the ratio was at 52 levels, down to a low of 32 and is at present back at 52 levels.
 
The ratio has moved significantly higher during times of economic uncertainties as gold is one of the leading safe-haven assets.
Gold is mainly an invest ment tool, while silver serves industrial purposes as well.
During stable times, it is better to invest in silver and shift monies to gold during uncertainties.
The ratio had peaked in recent times during the financial crisis of 2008-09 and the dotcom bust in early 2000. During the dotcom bust, the ratio had touched 80 and in late 2008, it shot up to 84.
How to use the ratio: At the present ratio of 52, an uninitiated investor can start putting his money in gold till it reaches 70. "One need not invest the entire amount in one go, but make a staggering investment as the ratio moves up," said Bitupan Ma jumdar, analyst, commodities and assets, JRG Wealth Management.

Once it reaches 70 and if there is an upward trend, it is time to move the gold holdings partly into silver. Almost 60 per cent of the holdings can thus be moved into silver in phases if the ratio touches 80.

The ratio moving beyond 85 levels has happened only in 1980 and this is not likely in normal situations. From 80, the ratio has come down and silver prices have started rallying.

At 80 levels, the investor should wait for the silver rally to play out and the ratio to once again drop down to levels between 50 and 55.
Between 50 and 35, he can once again accumulate gold as the ratio is only going to move up at around 35.

Along with the ratio, an investor also has to follow the macro economic factors to understand the duration of the cyclical movement in gold and silver.

The ratio can stay at higher levels for a longer period if the financial crises are triggering safe-haven buying in gold. On the other hand, if the financial markets are stable and the industrial output of key economies remain robust, the ratio can remain at lower levels for a longer time.
 

Popular posts from this blog

ICICI Prudential Dynamic Plan Invest Online

Download Tax Saving Mutual Fund Application Forms Invest In Tax Saving Mutual Funds Online Buy Gold Mutual Funds Leave a missed Call on 94 8300 8300   ICICI Prudential Dynamic Plan             Invest Online This fund does remarkably well during falling markets, but fails to show the same prowess during a rising market. The fund sticks to its mandate to adapt to the dynamic nature of the market by shuttling between debt and equity. It takes aggressive asset calls in equity when the market surges by investing in quality mid-cap stocks. At the same time, it adopts a defensive strategy by investing in debt and cash when markets get overvalued, making it a good long-term choice.     For further information contact Prajna Capital on 94 8300 8300 by leaving a missed call     Leave a missed Call on 94 8300 8300   Leave your comment with mail ID and we will ...
Read more

Lump Sum or SIP?

Invest Mutual Fund Online     You have a lump sum in hand and you wish to invest in equity funds. However, you have heard a lot of talk about investing in equity funds through Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) because they help average costs, ensure you do not ill-time the market, and help you invest in small sums, besides giving you many other advantages. So, should you invest the money you have in hand in one go, or let it remain in your bank account and then do an SIP? There is no harm in investing a lump sum amount. For all you know, compounding, over the long term, could work better with lump sum. However, make sure you fulfill all of these three criteria if you want to invest in one go. Else, SIP is the way to go. #1: You invest for the long term According to past data, ideally, if you have a time frame of 12 years or more, you can consider lump sum investing (provided you satisfy the other two conditions that follow). So, what is the sanctity behind 12 years? Is it because only...
Read more

Group Health Insurance

Buy Group Health Insurance Online   For Human Resources, the biggest challenge today is to decide whether medical benefits should be offered to employees or not, what type of plans should be offered, what will be the cost and how will the cost be split between employees and employer. Well, most of these are subjective and would depend on a lot of factors including company size, average employee salary, etc. However, this article will give you a fair idea on how you should go about deciding these factors: 1. Why offer group health insurance benefit to employees : Studies have proved that retention rates among employers offering GHI are much higher than the ones who are not offering. Moreover, the cost of providing this benefit as a percentage of salary is very low as compared to the perceived value. As an example, say if average salary of an employee in your organization is 4 LPA. If you decide to offer a health insurance benefit to him for a Sum insured of ...
Read more

Birla Sun Life MIP II Savings 5

  Birla Sun Life MIP II Savings 5 - Invest Online   Have you traditionally been a debt investor but now wish to test waters in equities? Then, debt-oriented funds such as Birla Sun Life MIP II Savings 5 (Birla Savings 5), which have limited exposure to equities, may fit your requirement. With a five year return of 10.5 per cent compounded annually, the fund managed a good 3-3.5 percentage points more than its benchmark Crisil MIP Blended Index, as well as its category average. The fund appears well poised to capitalise on a falling interest rate scenario and has increased the average portfolio duration of its debt instruments in recent times. Suitability Birla Savings 5 is suitable only for conservative investors. If you want to make a beginning in equities and cannot take any short-term declines in your stride, then this fund will suit you. If you are already an equity investor and want to use a debt-oriented fund merely as a diversifier, then you may prefer peers from the HDFC and Re...
Read more

Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund - Purchase Online

Download Tax Saving Mutual Fund Application Forms Invest In Tax Saving Mutual Funds Online Buy Gold Mutual Funds Leave a missed Call on 94 8300 8300 Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund (An open ended equity fund) Today's Bluechips were Emerging companies not long ago. Mirae Asset now offers you an opportunity to tap into the value of today's mid and small sized* companies which have the potential to perform well in the coming years. Invest in Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund. It could be the most invalueable decision you every took. *As per scheme mandate   Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund is a Mid-cap fund which gives investors the opportunity to participate in the growth of the emerging companies which may have the potential to be tomorrow's large caps.   Outperformance to Benchmark Indices - Since its ...
Read more
Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...
Invest in Tax Saving Mutual Funds Download Any Applications
Transact Mutual Funds Online Invest Online
Buy Gold Mutual Funds Invest Now