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Strategies to Navigate a Volatile Stock Market

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The possible political uncertainty from DMK's pullout shocked the markets today. The day before, it was Cyprus bailout which weighed on the markets. While volatility in the markets is nothing new, experts believe that investors should be prepared for a volatile market in the days ahead. Here are some key signposts that will have a bearing on how markets behave and the strategies you should follow as an investor

1 Policy reforms:

Strong follow-up action on earlier reforms is a must to revive investment climate, remove uncertainty on economy, attract capital flows and avert downgrades in sovereign ratings

2 Monetary easing:

A benign rate regime is needed to kick start the investment cycle by allowing corporates to borrow at lower rates to fund their projects. It will improve business confidence and help corporates with highly leveraged balance sheets to cut interest outgo

3 Corporate earnings:

How corporate earnings shape up in 2013 will show the extent of anticipated recovery, or its lack, in the country's economic growth. The performance of companies in sectors such as automobiles, consumer durables, infrastructure and capital goods, will be a telling indicator of the health of the economy.

4 Elections:

Legislative elections in India are scheduled for 10 assemblies in 2013. The assembly elections will set the stage for general elections slated for next year. The stock market will take cues from any significant power shift in the key states of Delhi, Madhya Pradesh and Karnataka

5 Global events:

The US may have avoided falling off the 'fiscal cliff', but it is still struggling with spending cuts and tax hikes. Like the Cyprus episode shows, Europe will also be on the edge as uncertainty continues to prevail in the region

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