Skip to main content

Inflation and home loan rates

A further drop in home loan interest rates is not expected as the inflation rate is under control now
The unpredictable rate movements, the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) moves and mixed response from the lenders has put borrowers in some confusion. The inflation monster which had pushed prices to unimaginable highs has finally been tamed. From as high as 12.91 percent this year, the inflation rate has almost come down to half of that.

Does this mean borrowers can expect banks to reduce their home loan rates, if this trend persists? What is inflation?

Inflation is an increase in prices and/or decline in purchasing power. An increase in the amount of currency in circulation results in a relatively sharp and sudden fall in its value, and rise in prices. It can also be defined as a persistent increase in the level of consumer prices or a persistent decline in the purchasing power of money, caused by an increase in available currency and credit beyond the proportion of available goods and services. Inflation is caused more by global rather than by domestic factors today.

The year 2008 was extreme turbulence in all quarters. The stock markets tumbled down, wiping away tons of investor wealth. The inflation numbers touched new peaks and crude oil prices shot up. Prices of essential commodities and food rose sharply. And so did home loan rates, impacting borrowers adversely, especially those who did not see a proportionate increase in their pay purses.

High inflation rates are dealt with through a combination of market forces and government regulations. A host of RBI measures ensued. The RBI continuously monitors the monetary and liquidity conditions to maintain domestic macroeconomic and financial stability in the context of the global financial crisis. It hiked the repo rate and the cash reserve ratio (CRR), and then resorted to slashing them again.

The repo rate is the rate at which banks borrow money from the RBI. A reduction in the repo rate will help banks get money at a cheaper rate. When the repo rate is increased borrowing from the RBI becomes more expensive. The CRR is the proportion of reserves commercial banks must keep with the RBI. It has been slashed to 5.5 from nine percent. With the inflation rate declining, the RBI is expected to announce a further reduction in the repo and reverse repo rates.

Lending rates had gone up after the RBI took measures to tighten the money supply in a bid to bring down inflation. With inflation well under check, can borrowers expect a further fall in rates? Most public sector banks had lowered rates making it affordable. Some banks are yet to offer the reduced rates to their existing customers. In such a scenario, a floating rate loan would be an ideal choice. Since there is a possibility of reduction in rates, floating in these turbulent times is better than being locked at a high rate. Those who are unsure can wait for the turbulence in the markets to quell.

Real estate has been an ideal hedge against inflation over a long term. Limited land resources, a growing economy and increasing population make real estate an ideal investment avenue. When demand for housing goes up compared to supply, prices shoot upwards. With a fall in rates on the horizon and lucrative bargain deals offered by developers, it is time you seriously explored owing a house.

Popular posts from this blog

Tata Mutual Fund

Being a part of the Tata group, the fund has the backing of a very trusted brand name with strong retail connect. While the current CEO has done an excellent job in leveraging the Tata brand name to AMC's advantage, it is ironic that this was just not capitalised on at the start. Incorporated in 1995, Tata Mutual Fund remained an 'also-ran' fund house for around eight years. Till March 2003, it had a little over Rs 1,000 crore in assets and 19 AMCs were ahead of it. But soon after that the equation changed. It was the fastest growing fund house in 2004 and 2005. During these two years, it aggressively launched six equity funds, two debt funds and one MIP. The fund house as of now stands at No. 8 in terms of asset size. This fund house has a lot to offer by way of choice. And, it also has a number of well performing schemes. Tata Pure Equity, Tata Equity PE and Tata Infrastructure are all good funds. It also has quite a few good debt funds. The funds of Tata AMC are known to...

UTI Mutual Fund

Even though only a few of UTI’s funds are great performers, this public sector fund house has many advantages that its rivals do not. It has a huge base of retail equity investors and a vast distribution network. As a business, it looks stronger than ever, especially in the aftermath of credit crunch. UTI is, by a large margin, the most profitable fund company in the country. This is not surprising, since managing equity funds is more profitable than debt. Its conservative approach and stable parentage is likely to make it look more attractive to investors in times to come. UTI’s big problem is the dragging performance that many of its equity funds suffer from. In recent times, the management has made a concerted effort to improve performance. However, these moves have coincided with a disastrous phase in the stock markets and that has made it impossible to judge whether the overhaul will eventually be a success. UTI’s top performers are a few index funds, some hybrid funds and its inf...

Salary planning Article

1. The salary (basic + DA) should be low. The rest should come by way of such allowances on which the employer pays FBT and you don't pay any tax thereon. 2. Interest paid on housing loan is deductible u/s 24 up to Rs 1.5 lakh (Rs 150,000) on self-occupied property and without any limit on a commercial or rented house. 3. The repayment of housing loan from specified sources is also deductible irrespective of whether the house is self-occupied or given on rent within the overall ceiling of Rs 1 lakh of Sec. 80C. 4. Where the accommodation provided to the employee is taken on lease by the employer, the perk value is the actual amount of lease rental or 20 per cent of the salary, whichever is lower. Understandably, if the house belongs to a family member who is at a low or nil tax zone the family benefits. Yes, the maximum benefit accrues when the rent is over 20 per cent of the salary. 5. A chauffeur driven motor car provided by the employer has no perk value. True, the company would...

8 Investing Strategy

The stock market ‘meltdown’ witnessed since the start of 2005 (notwithstanding the recent marginal recovery) has once again brought to the forefront an inherent weakness existent in our markets. This is the fact that FIIs, indisputably and almost entirely, dominate the Indian stock market sentiments and consequently the market movements. In this article, we make an attempt to list down a few points that would aid an investor in mitigating the risks and curtailing the losses during times of volatility as large investors (read FIIs) enter and exit stocks. Read on Manage greed/fear: This is an important point, which every investor must keep in mind owing to its great influencing ability in equity investment decisions. This point simply means that in a bull run - control the greed factor, which could entice you, the investor, to compromise with your investment principles. By this we mean that while an investor could get lured into investing in penny and small-cap stocks owing to their eye-...

Debt Funds - Check The Expiry Date

This time we give you an insight into something that most debt fund investors would be unaware of, the Average Portfolio Maturity. As we all know, debt funds invest in bonds and securities. These instruments mature over a certain period of time, which is called maturity. The maturity is the length of time till the principal amount is returned to the security-holder or bond-holder. A debt fund invests in a number of such instruments and each of these instruments would be having different maturity times. Hence, the fund calculates a weighted average maturity, which would give a fair idea of the fund's maturity period. For example, if a fund owns three bonds of 2-year (Rs 30,000), 3-year (Rs 10,000) and 5-year (Rs 20,000) maturities, its weighted average maturity would be 3.17 years. What is the big deal about average maturity then, you may ask. Well, knowing a fund's average maturity is important because it tells you how sensitive a fund is to the change in interest rates. It is ...
Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...
Invest in Tax Saving Mutual Funds Download Any Applications
Transact Mutual Funds Online Invest Online
Buy Gold Mutual Funds Invest Now