Skip to main content

Promoter activity and how it affects your investment

By tracking promoters’ move in the open market, you can get a feel of the direction of a stock price

THE January bloodbath on Dalal Street this year left stocks of many heavyweight as well as emerging companies quoting at cheap prices. What followed in the next five months was that many promoters used this slump to acquire their company’s shares from the open market. This buying from the secondary market by promoters to enhance their holdings is also known as "creeping acquisitions". You may, however, ask how it makes a difference to your portfolio. According to analysts, by tracking promoters’ move in the open market, you give yourself a chance to ascertain the direction of a stock price you are holding. Here’s an insight into how you can follow promoters’ buying and selling activity in capital markets to your advantage.

FIRST THINGS FIRST

Is it legal for promoters to shore up their stake by buying from the open market? As per Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), promoters are allowed to purchase up to 5% stake in their company in a single financial year through creeping acquisition route, subject to the condition that they don’t cross the ceiling of 55%. The next question which may come to your mind is — but how can you find out promoters’ trading activity in the open market on a daily basis.

For the uninitiated, there are two ways you can do the same.

First, you can visit Sebi’s website and read insider trading disclosures page under Sebi (Prohibition of Insider Trading) Regulations, 1992.

Second, you can regularly keep a tab on the ‘Insider Trading’ column, generally published in financial newspapers with stock market prices. Investors who are not efficient with the online medium find the latter approach more convenient to deal with.

FIGURE OUT MOTIVE

Analysts believe that promoters’ trading pattern in the open market signals their intent towards their future plans. Basically, when promoters sell their share in the secondary market, it is seen as a bearish indication, unless this may not be the case, when they are selling shares to a large or strategic investor or they are doing the same to subscribe to warrants or bonds. Further, if they sell the shares for their own personal diversification, it cannot be viewed as a negative indication.
If the selling activity, however, has a correlation with the projected performance of the company, you should better watch out and take your call whether you want to remain invested in the stock. During the last two years, there have been many instances when promoters’ move to sell their stocks in the secondary market has resulted in their company’s stock prices collapsing on Dalal Street.

However, promoters generally buy their shares from the secondary market via a buyback, which is mandated by Sebi. The buyback can be done either through a tender offer or a market buyback. The company then has to fix the quantity of shares that it wants to buy from the secondary market and inform the market regulator. Under a tender buyback, the company will send you a tender form, which you will have to fill up and send it across to the company. The other option involves companies buying back shares from the open market over an extended period of time.

In India, the multinational companies, in most cases, buy through a tender route. The attempt largely remains to return excess cash to the shareholders or in a few cases, to break the flow of the falling stock prices or arrest the fall in stock prices. You should try to figure out the intention of promoters behind any move in the open market. For instance, if the promoters are buying shares in large quantities, it normally augurs well for the stock prices, and the positive impact is visible over a period of six to 18 months. The buying more often than not indicates that the promoters feel that the stock price of their companies is lower than the true value.

Day traders, generally, get more excited when they see any activity from promoters in the secondary market. For a long-term investor, if a promoter is on a fast creeping acquisition spree, raising his stake from an already comfortable level, it can be seen as a positive indication. You should, however, keep other factors in mind while taking the final call. The fast-paced approach, according to analysts, in a way reflects management’s confidence about the future prospects of a company.

In the last few months, companies which have seen mopping up of shares by their promoters from the secondary market include ACC, GE Shipping, Pantaloon Retail, Reliance Infrastructure, Great Offshore, and Reliance Energy. You should, however, try to ignore any small buying or selling promoters are doing, unless they form a pattern.

Popular posts from this blog

Mutual Fund Review: Taurus Tax Shield

    Taurus Tax Shield has seen a turnaround in performance since 2007, but still remains a volatile offering… The fund has seen a turnaround in its performance since 2007 and has delivered impressively during market rallies since then. The portfolio is also more diversified. It contained its downfall to an average level in 2008 but is still one of the most volatile offerings in this category. Bold investors can look at this fund.   Strategy The fund manager invests across the market capitalisation and sectors. The selection of stocks is made on the basis of long-term business prospects and value creation. Fund Insight Launched in March 1996, the fund was a laggard with just two annual outperformances. Concentrated stock bets and high exposure to mid and small caps led to it being hit harder during market downturns. The number of stocks in the portfolio never exceeded 20 and it was not rare to see the top 5 holdings account for around 60 per cent of the portfolio. After b...

Use Mutual Fund SWPs for getting fixed payments

Invest In Tax Saving Mutual Funds Online Download Tax Saving Mutual Fund Application Forms Buy Gold Mutual Funds Call 0 94 8300 8300 (India)   Investors time withdrawals optimally to save on tax The systematic withdrawal plan, or SWP, could be called the lesser known cousin of the much talked about and publicised systematic investment plan (SIP). There's yet another cousin — the Systematic Transfer Plan ( STP ). In SIP, you invest a fixed sum of money at regular intervals (monthly/ quarterly) to buy some units of a mutual fund scheme. In SWP, as the name suggests, you do the opposite: You redeem some mutual fund units from your portfolio to get a fixed sum of money at regular intervals (monthly/quarterly/half year/yearly). In SIP, you get a higher numbers of units when the markets are down, and lesser in a buoyant market. In SWP, going by the product logic, you redeem higher number of units when the markets are do...

AXIS Long Term Equity Fund - The Best Tax Saver Fund for 2016

  AXIS Long Term Equity Fund - Invest Online   History:   The open ended mutual fund was launched on December 21 in the year 2009. It is benchmarked against BSE 200 and managed by the fund manager JINESH GOPANI. Initially the scheme was called as Axis tax saver fund but later it was renamed as Axis long term equity fund with effect from September 2, 2011. Nature of investment: As far as asset allocation is concerned, 97.52% of the stocks are equity and 0.02% is debt based. The primary focus of the fund is to invest in diversified equity stocks that have higher growth potential. Total asset size of the fund is in the tune of 4,996 CRORE as of June 30, 2015. Performance: The performance of the fund for one year, 3 years and 5 years are 23.6%, 29.9% and 19.1 respectively which are far greater than 6.4%, 14% and 5.6% benchmark figures. It has also preformed fairly well against SBI magnum Tax Gain (G) and HDFC tax saver (G). The growth comparison is enumerated below;                        ...

IDFC Classic Equity Fund

Invest In Tax Saving Mutual Funds Online Download Tax Saving Mutual Fund Application Forms Buy Gold Mutual Funds Call 0 94 8300 8300 (India)   IDFC Classic Equity Fund IDFC Classic Equity is a large-cap equity fund which currently has assets under management worth Rs. 158.52 crore. It was launched in August 2005. The fund is benchmarked against the BSE-200 Index. Performance YTD 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year Since Inception IDFC Classic Equity 0.93 26.61 6.30 1.01 11.65 BSE 200 1.52 17.31 6.00 1.99 12.98 All figures in % as on January 31, 2013; Returns above one-year in CAGR terms ...

Health insurance guide - Part I

Insurance, by definition, is morbid. What if I die suddenly? What if my home caught fire? What if I had to undergo expensive medical treatment? What if something that I thought happened only to others befell me? Insurers, who work with large samples, calculate the probability of such an event and, hence, the possibility of them having to pay out a sum of money to mitigate, to the extent possible, the effects of that disaster. However, the possibility of you undergoing some kind of expensive medical treatment during your lifetime is far more likely than you dying suddenly or your house burning down. Given that costs at private healthcare facilities, where you are most likely to land up, is high, and, doubling every four years 10 months or so, the rest of your money life could easily go out of whack if you had to incur such expenses. Just 12 per cent of India's population is covered with some sort of health insurance. Pared to the bone, for a comparatively small price, health insu...
Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...
Invest in Tax Saving Mutual Funds Download Any Applications
Transact Mutual Funds Online Invest Online
Buy Gold Mutual Funds Invest Now