Skip to main content

12 principles of speculation strategies in stocks

Enumerated below are twelve major principles and sixteen minor ones with brief comments on each of them:

First Major Axiom: On Risk
“Worry is not a sickness but sign of health. If you are not worried, you are not risking enough.”

Adventure is what makes life worth living. Every occupation has its aches and pains. The rich have to worry about their wealth. But, if there is a choice between remaining poor and worry-free, the selection is obvious. It is better to be wealthy and worried than to be worry-free and poor.

Minor Axiom I: “Always play for Meaningful Stakes.”
If you invest Rs. 1000 and your investment doubles, you have only Rs. 2000 and are still poor! So if you want to be rich, you must increase your stakes.

Minor Axiom II: “Resist the allure of diversification”.
Firstly
, diversification negates the earlier principle of playing for meaningful stakes.
Secondly, it may keep you where you began so that your gains on few will cancel out the losses on the other few.
Thirdly, it entails keeping track of many more items leading to confusion and occasional panic.

Second Major Axiom: On Greed
“Always take your profit too soon.”

Lay investors having made the investment tend to stay too long on it out of greed for higher profits. But, one must conquer this weakness and book profits soon. If one is less greedy for more profits one will take in more. Don't stretch your luck. In effect, it suggests, SELL sooner than later.

Minor Axiom III: "Decide in advance what gain you want from the venture, and when you get it, get out. Decide where the finish line is before you start the race".
This is self explanatory and hence needs no comment.

Third Major Axiom: On Hope
“When the ship starts to sink, don't pray, jump”
This axiom is about what to do when things go wrong. Learn how to accept a loss. One should accept small losses to protect oneself from big ones. When the market starts falling, sell, take your money and run!

Minor Axiom IV: "Accept small losses cheerfully as a fact of life."
Expect to experience several smaller losses while awaiting a large gain.

Fourth Major Axiom: On Forecasts
"Human behavior cannot be predicted. Distrust anyone who claims to know the future, however dimly."

The story of a monkey throwing darts on the stock exchange page of a newspaper, to select the companies to buy, and coming out a winner is too well known to be recited. Recent news from London, further proves the truth, when an untrained chemist's stock selections, in a widely publicized contest open to all and sundry, registered higher appreciation over several full time highly qualified fund managers' well researched selections. Human events cannot be predicted by any method by anyone and, hence, don't trust anybody's predictions.

Fifth Major Axiom: On Patterns
"Chaos is not dangerous until it begins to look orderly."
The truth is that the world of money is a world of patternless disorder and utter chaos. This axiom is a commentary on Technical Analysis - a branch of investment strategies based on charts and patterns. The fact is, no formula that ignores own intuition's dominant role can ever be trusted.

Minor Axiom V: "Beware the Historian's Trap".
This is based on the age old but entirely unwarranted belief that history repeats itself.

Minor Axiom VI: "Beware the Chartist's Illusion".
Life is never a straight line. Let us not be hypnotised by a line on a chart.

Minor Axiom VII: "Beware the Co-relation and Causality Delusions."
Don't be taken in by coincidences in the market.

Minor Axiom VIII: "Beware the Gambler's Fallacy."
There is a gambling theory which suggests that one should put small stakes initially and test their luck, and if these turn out well one should go for big stakes on the dice table. But this is not correct. It only shows that winning streaks happen. But nothing is orderly about it. You can't know how long it will last or when it will strike.

Sixth Major Axiom: On Mobility
"A putting down roots. They impede motion".

You may feel socially comforting to have roots. But in financial life, roots can cost a lot of money. Have a flexible approach while investing. This axiom implies a state of mind.

Minor Axiom IX: "Do not become trapped in a souring venture because of sentiments like loyalty and nostalgia."
Do not develop emotional attachment to your investment. You should feel free to sell when desired.

Minor Axiom X: "Never hesitate to abandon a venture if something more attractive comes into view."
Never get attached to things, but only to people. Otherwise it hits your mobility. Never get rooted in an investment. You should remain footloose, ready to jump away from trouble or into a profitable opportunity as and when circumstances demand.

Seventh Major Axiom: On Intuition
'A hunch can be trusted if it can be explained.'
A good hunch is something that you know but you don't know how to recognise it. When a hunch hits you, try to locate some data in your mind for any familiarity. Then only should you act on it.

Minor Axiom XI: 'Never confuse a hunch with a hope'.
Be highly skeptical. Examine every hunch with extra care.

Eighth Major Axiom: On Religion and The Occulture
'It is unlikely that god's plan for the universe includes making you rich'.
You can't only pray that you should be made rich. You will have to work at becoming rich. Mere prayers will not suffice.

Minor Axiom XII: 'If Astrology worked, all astrologers would be rich.'
This is self explanatory. Don't trust predictions.

Minor Axiom XIII: 'As superstition need not be exorcised, it can be enjoyed provided it is kept in its place.'
In your day-to-day financial matters, act rationally. But, when buying a lottery ticket, give it a full play to amuse yourself.

Ninth Major Axiom: On Optimism and Pessimism
'Optimism means expecting the best, but confidence means knowing how you will handle the worst. Never make a move if you are merely optimistic.'
In poker and a lot of other speculative worlds, things are never as bad as they seem - most of the times they are WORSE. Confidence comes not from expecting the best but from knowing how you will handle the worst. Optimism can be treacherous because it makes you feel good.

Tenth Major Axiom: On Consensus
'Disregard the majority opinion. It is probably wrong'.

It is likely that the Truth has been found out by a few rather than by many.

Minor Axiom XIV: 'Never follow speculative fads. Often, the best time to buy something is when nobody else wants it.'
This is the best way to get a good stock cheaply.

Eleventh Major Axiom: On Stubbornness
'If it doesn't pay off the first time, forget it'.
If at first you don't succeed, try and try again and you will succeed in the end. This is good advice for spiders and kings but not for ordinary persons with regard to financial matters. Every trial is a costly error.

Minor Axiom XV: 'Never try to save a bad investment by averaging down.'
If the price of the stock goes down after your purchase don't buy more to bring down' the average cost of your total holding. Investigate why the price went down rather than put good money in a bad bargain.

Twelfth Major Axiom: On Planning
'Long-range plans engender the dangerous belief that the future is under control. It is important never to take your own long-range plans, or other people's seriously.'
This is self explanatory and hence needs no comment.

Minor Axiom XVI: 'Shun long-term investments.'
If possible try to a long-term investments.

The author noticed that the Swiss group never took a long-term view of their stock purchases. They always sold out as soon as their targeted profit was achieved.

Popular posts from this blog

Save Tax With Mutual Funds

Download Tax Saving Mutual Fund Application Forms Invest In Tax Saving Mutual Funds Online Buy Gold Mutual Funds Leave a missed Call on 94 8300 8300       Mutual funds are ideal as long term investment avenues for retail investors. To encourage investments in this avenue, the Government of India offers investors a spate of tax benefits thus ensuring maximum benefit from mutual funds held beyond a year. Sample some of the key benefits and refer to the table for a detailed list of tax rates for different types of schemes ·        Avail deductions under Sec 80C of the Income Tax Act by investing up to a maximum of Rs. 1 lakh in designated Equity Linked Savings Schemes (ELSS). Such investments have a compulsory lock in period of 3 years. ·        First time retail investors in equity with a gross total income of up to Rs. 12 lakh can invest up to Rs. 50,000 in specific MF schemes un...

How much to invest in gold ?

Invest In Tax Saving Mutual Funds Online Download Tax Saving Mutual Fund Application Forms Buy Gold Mutual Funds Call 0 94 8300 8300 (India) Let your motivation dictate the share of the yellow metal in your portfolio Enough has been said and written about gold as an investment option. The latest argument is that the craze for gold among Indian households is endangering our country's balance of payments. The policymakers are busy trying to find ways of discouraging investment in gold, but if households keep the common good in mind, they would be paying the market price for gas cylinders as they do for, say, their mobile phone bills. After all, private decisions are driven by private motives. So, how should a household look at gold from its own perspective? Gold is primarily acquired for its merit as a store of value. Even if the worst crisis hits a family, the gold that it holds could be put to use anywhere in th...

LIC's JEEVAN SHIKHAR

  LIC's Jeevan Shikhar is a participating, non-linked, saving cum protection single premium plan wherein the risk cover is ten times of Tabular Single Premium. The proposer will have an option to choose the Maturity Sum Assured. The premium payable shall depend on the chosen amount of Maturity Sum Assured and age at entry of the life assured. This plan also takes care of liquidity need through its loan facility. The plan will be open for sale for a maximum period of 120 days from the date of launch. 1.   BENEFITS   : a) Death Benefit: On death during first five policy years: Before the date of commencement of risk   :   Refund of Single Premium without interest. Single Premium mentioned above shall not include any extra amount if charged under the policy due to underwriting decision and taxes. After the date of commencement of risk   : "Sum Assured on Death" equal to 10 times the tabular single premium shall be payable. On death after completion of five policy years but b...

IDFC Nifty ETF

IDFC Mutual Fund has launched IDFC Nifty ETF . The fund seeks to provide returns tha, before expenses closely correspond to the total return of the underlying index, subject to tracking errors. The minimum investment is `5,000 and the NFO closes on 30 September. ------------------------------ ----------------- Invest Rs 1,50,000 and Save Tax under Section 80C. Get Great Returns by Investing in Best Performing ELSS Mutual Funds Top 10 Tax Saver Mutual Funds to invest in India for 2016 Best 10 ELSS Mutual Funds in india for 2016 1. BNP Paribas Long Term Equity Fund 2. Axis Tax Saver Fund 3. Religare Tax Plan 4. DSP BlackRock Tax Saver Fund 5. Franklin India TaxShield 6. ICICI Prudential Long Term Equity Fund 7. IDFC Tax Advantage (ELSS) Fund 8. Birla Sun Life Tax Relief 96 9. Reliance Tax Saver (ELSS) Fund 10. Birla Sun Life Tax Plan Invest in Best Performing 2016 Tax Saver Mutual Funds Online Invest Online Download Application Forms For further information contact Prajna Capital on 94...

UTI Fixed Term Income Fund Series XVI - I

Invest In Tax Saving Mutual Funds Online Download Tax Saving Mutual Fund Application Forms Buy Gold Mutual Funds Call 0 94 8300 8300 (India)   UTI Fixed Term Income Fund Series XVI - I (366 days). New Fund Offer opens on : Friday, August 16, 2013 New Fund Offer closes on : Monday, August 19, 2013 Allotment Date : Tuesday, August 20, 2013 Scheme Tenure : 366 days Maturity Date : Thursday, August 21, 2014 Happy Investing!! We can help. Call 0 94 8300 8300 (India) Leave your comment with mail ID and we will answer them OR You can write back to us at PrajnaCapital [at] Gmail [dot] Com --------------------------------------------- Invest in Tax Saving Mutual Funds ( ELSS Mutual Funds ) to upto Rs 1 lakh and Save tax under Section 80C. Inve...
Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...
Invest in Tax Saving Mutual Funds Download Any Applications
Transact Mutual Funds Online Invest Online
Buy Gold Mutual Funds Invest Now