Skip to main content

Smart buy: Go by the book Value of the stock

THE bear phase may be far from over, but the quest for the next group of multi-bagger stocks have begun. Brokers say while savvy investors are still wary of buying aggressively, they have certainly started identifying stocks with long-term potential. One of the yardsticks they are looking at is the cash on the company’s balance sheet.

Analysts say this strategy works in a bear market or an uncertain business environment, as net cash (adjusted to debt) is the only stable aspect on the balance sheet while valuations of assets and businesses vary as per market conditions. For instance, if a company stock is trading at Rs 500 and the entity has net cash at Rs 300 per share, then, as per this strategy, the share is valued at least Rs 300.

Analysts note that significant cash balance in the books allows companies to pursue various activities such as a share buyback and acquisitions in uncertain market conditions like these. Many share buybacks allow investors to get a fair picture of the so-called bottom value of the stock. With valuations of most companies falling dramatically over the many months, cash-rich companies can buy cheaper assets, with potential growth over the long term.

Analysts say there has been an increase in inquiries about companies with significant cash on their books. A popular ratio to value cash in a company is cash-to-market capitalisation. The market cap of a company is the share price multiplied by total shares in issue.

Market capitalisation provides the total value of the company, including its assets, cash and investor perception. Higher the cash to market cap of a company, the cheaper is the share. Analysts say a cash to market cap ratio of 0.20 or higher is considered healthy and that this ratio may vary as per market conditions.

The BSE’s 500 companies shows that 32 stocks have a cash-to-market cap ratio of around 0.20 and above. But fund managers feel this cannot be the only parameter to judge the value of a stock, as it gives investors an idea of only the maximum possible downside.

Cash levels of a company alone does not give confidence about the stock’s prospects. Though cash is real, it does not matter if the money is not used in the right way. For that, one needs to look at the company management and its growth prospects.

In the recent bull market, several cash-rich companies were under pressure from analysts and investors to deploy the money as shareholders considered higher cash levels harmed their interests.

Popular posts from this blog

Birla SunLife Manufacturing Equity Fund

The Make in India program was launched by Prime Minister Naredra Modi in September 2014 as part of a wider set of nation-building initiatives. It was devised to transform India into a global design and manufacturing hub. The primary motive of the campaign is to encourage multinational as well domestic companies to manufacture their products in India. This would create more job opportunities, bring high-quality standards and attract capital along with technological investment to bring more foreign direct investment (FDI) in the country.   Why India as the next manufacturing destination?   The rising demand in India along with the multinational's desire to diversify their production to include low-cost plants in countries other than China, can help India's manufacturing sector to grow and create millions of jobs. In the words of our Honourable Prime Minister- Mr. Narendra Modi, India offers the 3 'Ds' for business to thrive— democracy,...

Total Returns Index brings out real Equity Funds Performers

From February, equity mutual funds have to change their benchmarks to account for dividend payments. Until now, funds used price-based benchmarks alone. TRI or total return indices assume that dividend payouts are reinvested back into the index. What this does is lift the overall index returns, because dividends get compounded. For example, the Sensex TRI index will consider dividend payouts of its constituent companies while the Nifty50 TRI index will consider dividends of its constituents. Using TRI indices as benchmarks comes on the argument that an equity funds earn dividends on the stocks in its portfolio, which they use to buy more stocks. Therefore, using an index that also considers dividend reinvestment would be a more appropriate benchmark. Shrinking outperformance With a stiffer benchmark, it is obvious that the margin by which an equity fund outperforms the benchmark would shrink. Rolling one-year returns from 2013 onwards, the average margin by which largecap funds out...

Kisan Vikas Patra - KVP

  Kisan Vikas Patra (KVP) First launched in 1988, the Kisan Vikas Patra (KVP) is one of the premier and popular saving scheme offering from the Indian Postal Department. This product has had a very chequered history- initially successful, deemed a product that could be misused and thus terminated in 2011, followed by a triumphant return to prominence and popular consumption in 2014. The salient features of KVP are as follows- The grand USP- Money invested by the applicant doubles in 100 months (8 years, 4 months). KVPs are available in the following denominations- Rs.1000, Rs.5000, Rs.10,000 and Rs.50,000. The minimum purchase value for the KVP is Rs.1000. There is no maximum limit. KVPs are available at all departmental post offices across India. These certificates can be prematurely encashed after 2 ½ years from the point of issue. KVPs can be transferred from one individual to another and from one post office to another. ----------------------------------------------------- Inve...

Stock Review: Havells

HAVELLS India's stock performance has been muted in the past three months, in line with the weak broader market. But, given the turnaround in its overseas subsidiary and the launch of new products in its consumer durable business, the company's stock may undergo a re-rating.    Havells is India's leading consumer electrical goods company, with consolidated sales of . 5,527 crore in the past four quarters. Its wholly-owned subsidiary Sylvania, which makes lighting and fixtures, has established brands in European, Latin American and Asian markets. Sylvania repre sented nearly half of the company's consolidated revenues in the first half of FY11.    Sylvania's poor financials hit Havells' consolidated performance in FY10. But, this has changed in the cur rent fiscal. Havells has reduced fixed costs of Sylvania by exiting from unprofitable businesses and outsourcing manufacturing to low-cost locations such as India and China. In the September 2010 quarter, Sylv...

Mutual Fund Review: Reliance Regular Savings Equity

    Despite high churn, Reliance Regular Savings Equity has managed to fetch good returns   In its short history, this one has made its mark. Though its annual and trailing returns are amazing, the fund started off on a lousy note (last two quarters of 2005). It managed to impress in 2006 and was turning out to be pretty average in 2007, till Omprakash Kuckian took over in November 2007 and wasted no time in changing the complexion of the portfolio. Exposure to Construction shot up to 28 per cent with almost 21 per cent cornered by Pratibha Industries and Madhucon Projects . Exposure to Engineering was yanked up (18.50%) while Financial Services lost its prime slot (dropped to 6.69%) and Auto was dumped. That quarter (December 2007), he delivered 54.66 per cent (category average: 25.70%).   When the market collapsed in 2008, thankfully the fund did not plummet abysmally. But even its high cash allocations could not cushion the fall which hovered around the category average. ...
Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...
Invest in Tax Saving Mutual Funds Download Any Applications
Transact Mutual Funds Online Invest Online
Buy Gold Mutual Funds Invest Now