Skip to main content

Long term view for wealth creation

The second quarter has come to an end and there is an expectation in the air. The anxiety is more pronounced this time as the markets have not shown signs of recovery for the second quarter in a row.

Needless to say, this has been one of the challenging periods for the stock markets across the globe and in the case of India, the challenge has been compounded due to the high rate of inflation, election year and concerns of fiscal deficit. As a result, the local stock market has failed to cheer up even on days when global markets have shown signs of recovery.

If industry sources are to be believed, there is lack of patience for a long-term investment strategy despite the fact that many stocks in mid-cap and large-cap are available at two-year-old levels. Much of the problem is also due to the unexpected weakness, which entered the markets after January highs which has left many staring at a weak portfolio. As a result, broking houses are advising their high net worth clients to book profits at regular intervals though the task hasn't been easy.

In such a market scenario, it is not an easy task for investors to bet on sectors or stocks though technology, pharma and FMCG are proving to be safe bets in the current environment. You can also look at companies in the consumer durable space, which have a focus on high end products. Interestingly, despite the concerns of a slow-down, industry sources say that there is not much pressure faced by luxury brands as liquidity and ability to spend has remained intact among the affluent.

On the other hand, the middle-income group, which is more price-sensitive, has begun to tighten its spending habits and that is likely to have its impact on a number of sectors. The silver lining is that this segment also tends to push up its savings in tough economic conditions and there will be more on the table for investors to put money into.

Coming back to the quarterly expectations, technology has turned into a safe haven because of its insulation from inflation and oil price shocks. However, no turnaround in the prospects of the US market has proved to be a negative factor for the sector, though domestic companies have begun to look outside the US stock market quite aggressively. Markets like Europe, Australia and South-east Asia are likely to be bigger contributors and for services companies focused on the domestic market, it could be an interesting quarter.

In the domestic market, sectors like banking and retail have turned aggressive spenders on technology. In the case of banking, the second round of liberalisation is due next year and hence one has already seen hectic activity in the space.

Irrespective of the sector you choose, you need to take a long-term view as the market is lacking direction and there are no visible triggers for the Bull Run to resume in the current scenario. The comforting news is that the current market offers excellent potential for accumulation and one needs to be patient for wealth creation.

Popular posts from this blog

Birla SunLife Manufacturing Equity Fund

The Make in India program was launched by Prime Minister Naredra Modi in September 2014 as part of a wider set of nation-building initiatives. It was devised to transform India into a global design and manufacturing hub. The primary motive of the campaign is to encourage multinational as well domestic companies to manufacture their products in India. This would create more job opportunities, bring high-quality standards and attract capital along with technological investment to bring more foreign direct investment (FDI) in the country.   Why India as the next manufacturing destination?   The rising demand in India along with the multinational's desire to diversify their production to include low-cost plants in countries other than China, can help India's manufacturing sector to grow and create millions of jobs. In the words of our Honourable Prime Minister- Mr. Narendra Modi, India offers the 3 'Ds' for business to thrive— democracy,...

Total Returns Index brings out real Equity Funds Performers

From February, equity mutual funds have to change their benchmarks to account for dividend payments. Until now, funds used price-based benchmarks alone. TRI or total return indices assume that dividend payouts are reinvested back into the index. What this does is lift the overall index returns, because dividends get compounded. For example, the Sensex TRI index will consider dividend payouts of its constituent companies while the Nifty50 TRI index will consider dividends of its constituents. Using TRI indices as benchmarks comes on the argument that an equity funds earn dividends on the stocks in its portfolio, which they use to buy more stocks. Therefore, using an index that also considers dividend reinvestment would be a more appropriate benchmark. Shrinking outperformance With a stiffer benchmark, it is obvious that the margin by which an equity fund outperforms the benchmark would shrink. Rolling one-year returns from 2013 onwards, the average margin by which largecap funds out...

How to generate a UAN Online

Best SIP Funds Online   In order to make Employees' Provident Fund (EPF) accounts portable, the Employees' Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO) had launched the facility of Universal Account Number (UAN ) in 2014. Having a UAN is now mandatory if you have an EPF account and are contributing to it. So far, you got this number from your employer and every time you changed jobs, you had to furnish this number to the new employer.  However, in order to make it easier for you to get a UAN , and without your employer's intervention, the EPFO now allows you to go online and generate a UAN on your own. This facility can be used by freshers, or new employees, who are joining the workforce as well as by employees who have older EPF accounts but do not have a UAN as yet. As a new employee, you can simply generate a UAN and provide the number to your employer at the time of joining, when you need to fill up forms for your EPF contribution. As per a circula...

Stock Review: Havells

HAVELLS India's stock performance has been muted in the past three months, in line with the weak broader market. But, given the turnaround in its overseas subsidiary and the launch of new products in its consumer durable business, the company's stock may undergo a re-rating.    Havells is India's leading consumer electrical goods company, with consolidated sales of . 5,527 crore in the past four quarters. Its wholly-owned subsidiary Sylvania, which makes lighting and fixtures, has established brands in European, Latin American and Asian markets. Sylvania repre sented nearly half of the company's consolidated revenues in the first half of FY11.    Sylvania's poor financials hit Havells' consolidated performance in FY10. But, this has changed in the cur rent fiscal. Havells has reduced fixed costs of Sylvania by exiting from unprofitable businesses and outsourcing manufacturing to low-cost locations such as India and China. In the September 2010 quarter, Sylv...

Mutual Fund Review: Reliance Regular Savings Equity

    Despite high churn, Reliance Regular Savings Equity has managed to fetch good returns   In its short history, this one has made its mark. Though its annual and trailing returns are amazing, the fund started off on a lousy note (last two quarters of 2005). It managed to impress in 2006 and was turning out to be pretty average in 2007, till Omprakash Kuckian took over in November 2007 and wasted no time in changing the complexion of the portfolio. Exposure to Construction shot up to 28 per cent with almost 21 per cent cornered by Pratibha Industries and Madhucon Projects . Exposure to Engineering was yanked up (18.50%) while Financial Services lost its prime slot (dropped to 6.69%) and Auto was dumped. That quarter (December 2007), he delivered 54.66 per cent (category average: 25.70%).   When the market collapsed in 2008, thankfully the fund did not plummet abysmally. But even its high cash allocations could not cushion the fall which hovered around the category average. ...
Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...
Invest in Tax Saving Mutual Funds Download Any Applications
Transact Mutual Funds Online Invest Online
Buy Gold Mutual Funds Invest Now